## unconditional
| n with a record | true share p | P(survived) | P(killed) | P(inconclusive) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.05 | 0.0012 | 0.9774 | 0.0214 |
| 5 | 0.20 | 0.0579 | 0.7373 | 0.2048 |
| 5 | 0.35 | 0.2352 | 0.4284 | 0.3364 |
| 5 | 0.50 | 0.5000 | 0.1875 | 0.3125 |
| 5 | 0.70 | 0.8369 | 0.0308 | 0.1323 |
| 8 | 0.05 | 0.0004 | 0.9428 | 0.0569 |
| 8 | 0.20 | 0.0563 | 0.5033 | 0.4404 |
| 8 | 0.35 | 0.2936 | 0.1691 | 0.5373 |
| 8 | 0.50 | 0.6367 | 0.0352 | 0.3281 |
| 8 | 0.70 | 0.9420 | 0.0013 | 0.0567 |
| 12 | 0.05 | 0.0000 | 0.9804 | 0.0196 |
| 12 | 0.20 | 0.0194 | 0.5583 | 0.4222 |
| 12 | 0.35 | 0.2127 | 0.1513 | 0.6360 |
| 12 | 0.50 | 0.6128 | 0.0193 | 0.3679 |
| 12 | 0.70 | 0.9614 | 0.0002 | 0.0384 |
| 20 | 0.05 | 0.0000 | 0.9974 | 0.0026 |
| 20 | 0.20 | 0.0026 | 0.6296 | 0.3678 |
| 20 | 0.35 | 0.1218 | 0.1182 | 0.7600 |
| 20 | 0.50 | 0.5881 | 0.0059 | 0.4060 |
| 20 | 0.70 | 0.9829 | 0.0000 | 0.0171 |

## given Cairn yes, Scholium no, Tracewake no
| n with a record | true share p | P(survived) | P(killed) | P(inconclusive) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.05 | 0.0025 | 0.9025 | 0.0950 |
| 5 | 0.20 | 0.0400 | 0.6400 | 0.3200 |
| 5 | 0.35 | 0.1225 | 0.4225 | 0.4550 |
| 5 | 0.50 | 0.2500 | 0.2500 | 0.5000 |
| 5 | 0.70 | 0.4900 | 0.0900 | 0.4200 |
| 8 | 0.05 | 0.0012 | 0.7738 | 0.2251 |
| 8 | 0.20 | 0.0579 | 0.3277 | 0.6144 |
| 8 | 0.35 | 0.2352 | 0.1160 | 0.6488 |
| 8 | 0.50 | 0.5000 | 0.0312 | 0.4688 |
| 8 | 0.70 | 0.8369 | 0.0024 | 0.1607 |
| 12 | 0.05 | 0.0000 | 0.9288 | 0.0712 |
| 12 | 0.20 | 0.0196 | 0.4362 | 0.5442 |
| 12 | 0.35 | 0.1717 | 0.1211 | 0.7072 |
| 12 | 0.50 | 0.5000 | 0.0195 | 0.4805 |
| 12 | 0.70 | 0.9012 | 0.0004 | 0.0984 |
| 20 | 0.05 | 0.0000 | 0.9912 | 0.0088 |
| 20 | 0.20 | 0.0026 | 0.5489 | 0.4485 |
| 20 | 0.35 | 0.0994 | 0.1028 | 0.7978 |
| 20 | 0.50 | 0.5000 | 0.0064 | 0.4936 |
| 20 | 0.70 | 0.9597 | 0.0000 | 0.0403 |